In a landmark move, the Indian government, through the 56th GST Council meeting held on September 3, 2025, in New Delhi, has approved sweeping reforms to the Goods and Services Tax (GST) structure. Chaired by Hon’ble Union Finance Minister Smt. Nirmala Sitharaman, the council focused on simplifying the tax regime, reducing rates on essential and everyday items, and rationalised to a more streamlined slab system.
This rationalisation aims to ease the burden on the common man, boost consumption, and support key sectors like agriculture, manufacturing, and healthcare. The changes, effective from September 22, 2025, mark the dawn of what has been dubbed “Next-gen GST,” consolidating the existing four-tier structure (5%, 12%, 18%, and 28%) into primarily two main slabs: 5% for merit goods and 18% for standard items, with a 40% rate for select luxury or sin goods.
The core of the reform is the merger of the 12% and 28% slabs into the 5% and 18% categories for most goods, with exemptions or nil rates for essentials. This simplifies compliance for businesses and makes products more affordable for consumers. Notably, life and health insurance premiums have been fully exempted, providing significant relief to households. Exemptions for ultra-high temperature (UHT) milk, paneer, and Indian breads like roti and paratha further underscore the focus on food security and daily necessities. Agricultural and renewable energy equipment have seen sharp reductions to encourage sustainable practices, while high-end vehicles and tobacco products face higher or maintained rates to curb luxury consumption.
The council emphasized a “citizen-friendly Simple Tax” approach. The decisions reflect a unanimous consensus among the Centre and states, focusing on citizen-friendly reforms while navigating global economic challenges such as trade tariffs. Over 90% of goods have been shifted to lower rates, eliminating many classification disputes. This move aligns with the government’s vision of inclusive growth and ease of doing business, marking a significant evolution since GST’s introduction in 2017.
Below is a table highlighting some of the key rate changes for major products and categories/ These adjustments primarily target essentials, household items, vehicles, and healthcare to make them more accessible. This table captures the most impactful changes based on the council’s announcements, with a focus on consumer goods.
The reforms are poised to have multifaceted effects on the Indian economy, consumers, and businesses.
On consumers and households
By slashing rates on essentials like food, hygiene products, and healthcare, the rationalisation is expected to increase disposable income, particularly for the middle and lower-income groups. For instance, exemptions on insurance could save families thousands annually, while cheaper appliances and vehicles may spur big-ticket purchases. Economists predict a 5-10 basis point drop in CPI inflation due to lower costs of goods and services, making life more affordable amid rising global prices.
On the economy
The changes are projected to add 20-50 basis points to GDP growth in FY26 by stimulating consumer demand and domestic consumption, which accounts for over 60% of India’s GDP. This could offset external shocks, such as potential US tariffs on Indian exports. Sectors like automobiles, real estate (via lower cement rates), and agriculture will likely see a boom, fostering job creation in labour-intensive industries. However, the initial revenue dip may require states to rely on compensation mechanisms until buoyancy effects kick in.
International brokerage house Jefferies noted that the GST rationalisation is expected to deliver a positive festive demand boost, while the estimated Rs 48,000 crore revenue loss in FY24 terms may ease substantially due to higher consumption. They project the net fiscal impact in FY26 at Rs 22,000–24,000 crore, covering both Centre and States, with no adverse impact anticipated in FY27 as the conversion of GST Cess into GST should offset losses.
On the sectoral front, Jefferies highlighted that staples and FMCG players like ITC would benefit the most, while cement and auto stocks (including M&M) are expected to see a strong rebound. The cuts are seen as a “strong positive for other autos as well,” though markets have partially priced this in.
From a macroeconomic standpoint, Jefferies expects GST cuts to reduce CPI inflation by nearly 25 basis points, thereby increasing the probability of a 25 bps RBI rate cut in the upcoming policy review, with an “outside chance” of a 50 bps cut in subsequent meetings.
Importantly, Jefferies pointed out that the government is “showing greater trust in industry” by not imposing a fresh anti-profiteering clause. Officials expressed confidence that Indian businesses are competitive enough to pass on tax benefits to consumers, ensuring lower prices translate into wider affordability.
On businesses and compliance
Simplified slabs reduce classification disputes, easing compliance for MSMEs. Uniform rates on auto parts and textiles will streamline supply chains, potentially lowering production costs and enhancing competitiveness. Overall, the reforms promote ease of doing business, with noting a positive buoyancy effect on tax revenues in the long term.
While the benefits of GST rationalisation are evident—ranging from greater affordability of essentials to simplified compliance—the transition is not without short-term hurdles. One of the most pressing concerns is the potential revenue shortfall, projected at nearly Rs. 47,000–48,000 crore in the initial phase. This decline stems largely from rate cuts on high-revenue categories such as cement (28% to 18%), appliances, and vehicles. For states, this raises apprehensions about financing developmental projects and maintaining fiscal balance during the adjustment period.
Looking ahead, however, the long-term outlook remains promising. GST 2.0 has the potential to stimulate private capital expenditure, rejuvenate consumption demand, and strengthen fiscal resilience by creating a more stable and business-friendly tax environment. If implemented effectively, the reform could not only ease the burden on consumers but also serve as a catalyst for India’s broader economic transformation in the years to come.
The 2025 GST rationalisation represents a decisive step towards shaping a fairer and more efficient tax system, resonating with the government’s broader vision of inclusive growth. Although short-term fiscal adjustments may be necessary, the long-term advantages—such as cheaper goods, stronger consumer demand, and greater economic resilience—position the reform as a catalyst for India’s post-pandemic recovery.
As the changes roll out from September 22, their effectiveness will hinge on seamless implementation, careful calibration, and consistent cooperation between the Centre and states. Ensuring fiscal stability while promoting wider consumer and business welfare will be important to translating this policy shift into tangible and lasting benefits for the economy.
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