Online growth driving a US$ 2.9 tn digital advertising industry

Global advertising is undergoing a dramatic transformation, with spending projected to rise from US$ 520 billion in 2022 to as much as US$ 2.9 trillion by 2040. Digital advertising is at the forefront of this growth, driven by technological advancements, shifting consumer behavior, and the expanding global middle class. As digital platforms become the primary medium for engagement, businesses are leveraging AI, data-driven targeting, and innovative ad formats to maximize reach and efficiency. This shift is not only redefining marketing strategies but also reshaping the broader media and commerce landscape.

pixabay_digital advertising_tpciImage Source: Pixabay

Global advertising spending is set to surge from US$ 520 billion in 2022 to nearly US$ 2.9 trillion by 2040, with digital advertising expanding at a pace outstripping global economic growth, according to a McKinsey report. As brands increasingly invest in digital platforms and technological advancements refine ad targeting and engagement strategies, digital advertising continues to dominate media, commerce, and consumer interactions.

India’s advertising industry is growing even faster, with a 9.4% CAGR—1.4 times the global average, as per a PwC report. Digital advertising is at the forefront, with internet ad spending projected to rise at 15.6% CAGR. After a 26% jump in 2023, this segment is expected to sustain double-digit growth, reaching 12.2% by 2028. This aligns with global trends, where digital advertising accounted for 65% of total ad spend in 2022 and is expected to reach 80–90% by 2040.

Key industries in India such as e-commerce, automotive, BFSI, FMCG, and retail remain dominant players in both traditional and digital advertising, according to the latest Dentsu report. Retail media, e-commerce platforms, and D2C channels are driving consumer engagement through aggressive promotions, while product launches continue to fuel consumer trials and ad spending.

Additionally, rural consumption is emerging as a major growth driver, outpacing urban demand, particularly in the automotive and FMCG sectors. This shift underscores the growing significance of rural markets in shaping Indian advertisement industry expansion.

Key Drivers of Growth

Several key drivers are accelerating this rapid growth. One major factor is the expanding global middle class, which is broadening the consumer base. In developing regions like Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and Africa, the adoption of smartphones and broadband is surging, enhancing the reach and effectiveness of digital advertising. By 2026, smartphone penetration in these regions is expected to reach 90%, dramatically increasing the number of consumers engaged with digital ads.

Also, consumer attention is increasingly shifting to digital platforms as the time spent on digital media is rising, particularly in emerging economies. In India, for example, daily media consumption is projected to grow from 225 minutes in 2016 to nearly 400 minutes by 2026. In China, it could increase from 384 minutes to almost 500 minutes over the same period. This trend is not limited to developing markets—digital media’s share of total consumption in the U.S. is expected to rise from 40% in 2016 to 66% by 2026.

Another driver of this growth it that, digital ads offer a strong return on investment (ROI). Unlike traditional advertising, digital platforms provide targeted, measurable formats such as search and performance advertising, where businesses pay for actual engagement rather than broad brand awareness. This shift has allowed small and midsized businesses (SMBs) to become major advertisers. In 2020, only 200 advertisers supplied 88% of U.S. television ad revenue, while Facebook had over three million advertisers—primarily SMBs. The continued growth of connected TV and online video is further expanding digital ad opportunities.

Innovation and the Future of Digital Advertising

As per the McKinsey report, technological advancements are making digital advertising more personalized and cost-effective. Generative AI is revolutionizing content creation, reducing production costs, and enabling hyper-personalized campaigns. Companies like Carvana have leveraged AI to create millions of customized video ads, while Virgin Voyages has used AI-driven tools to personalize promotional content. As AI continues to advance, businesses will be able to create more engaging and efficient ad campaigns.

Additionally, new advertising formats are emerging. Retail media networks, in-game advertising, and digital out-of-home ads are growing rapidly. Companies such as Amazon, Chase, United, and Uber are incorporating ads into their platforms, while video game advertising is becoming a major revenue source. In mobile gaming alone, ad revenue as a percentage of total revenue increased from 28% in 2017 to 51% in 2022.

Advertising has also become the primary revenue model for many media platforms, particularly in regions where consumers prefer free content over paid subscriptions. For instance, 60% of Spotify’s 135 million monthly users in Latin America rely on its free, ad-supported tier. Even in developed markets, ad-supported streaming services are proving more profitable than subscription-only models. In 2023, the ad-supported tiers of Hulu, Netflix, and Peacock generated higher average revenue per user than their premium subscription tiers.

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